Top Sites  Top Casinos  Top SportsBooks  Top Handicappers  Contact Us  Links

 

WagerSmart Handicapping Forum

BIO: FreeSportsLetter.com

Click HERE for FREE Winners!

Click for FREE Winners!

 

 

BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service.  He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 40 years.  He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.

 


 

Click HERE for FREE Winners!

Click for FreeSportsLetter Free Football Picks Page


 

(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)

 

2017 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends

Here is a look before the 2017 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:

Air Force -- 5-0 ATS vs Boise State, 0-8 ATS vs Wyoming

Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-9 ATS vs Bowling Green

Alabama -- 7-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <21.5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses

Appalachian State -- 6-0 ATS as Road Favs <19 points, 0-5 ATS off a shutout win

Arizona -- 4-1 ATS vs Utah, 0-5 ATS vs UCLA

Arizona State -- 11-0 ATS vs Washington, 2-9 ATS as beaten Favs

Arkansas -- 4-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-7 ATS as beaten Favs

Arkansas State -- 7-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-4 ATS off a Double Digit ATS loss

Army -- 5-1 ATS vs Navy, 0-4 ATS vs Air Force

Auburn -- 4-1 ATS vs Lsu, 0-9 ATS as Double Digit Favs

Ball State -- 11-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-5 ATS vs Northern Illinois

Baylor -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS versus Kansas, 0-5 ATS versus Tcu

Boise State -- 8-2 ATS vs Fresno State, 0-5 ATS vs Air Force

Boston College -- 5-0 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 0-7 ATS before playing NC State

Bowling Green -- 6-0 ATS vs Ohio U, 1-7 ATS at Home with Rest

Buffalo -- 5-0 ATS at Kent State, 0-6 ATS at Akron

BYU -- 7-1 ATS with Revenge, 0-5 ATS with Rest

California -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Arizona, 1-7 ATS vs Usc

Central Michigan -- 3-0 ATS vs Ohio U, 0-7 ATS vs Toledo

Charlotte -- 3-1 ATS off a win, 2-10 ATS as Double Digit Dogs

Cincinnati -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs East Carolina, 0-4 ATS vs Miami-Ohio

Clemson -- 4-1 ATS vs Georgia Tech, 0-3 ATS vs Wake Forest

Coastal Carolina -- First lined year, 10-2 last season Straight Up

Colorado -- 3-0 ATS vs Cal, 0-7 ATS vs Washington

Colorado State -- 4-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-3 ATS as Bowlers

Connecticut -- New Head Coach, 1-10 ATS vs Temple

Duke -- 0-6 ATS vs Florida State, 0-3 ATS vs Miami

East Carolina -- 10-2 ATS vs non-Conference foes, 2-10 ATS with Rest

Eastern Michigan -- 6-0 ATS after playing Toledo, 1-10 ATS off Double-Digit Straight Up win

Florida -- 9-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-7 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown

Florida Atlantic -- New Head Coach, 3-1 ATS vs Western Kentucky, 1-7 ATS vs Middle Tennessee State

Florida International -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 0-5 ATS vs good opponents

Florida State -- 5-0 ATS after playing NC State, 0-8 ATS after a SU Dog win

Fresno State -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 2-8 ATS vs Boise State

Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-7 ATS with Rest

Georgia Southern -- 3-0 ATS vs Troy, 1-6 ATS as Favs

Georgia State -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conference Play, 0-4 ATS at Home vs good rivals

Georgia Tech -- 5-0 ATS first lined game, 1-8 ATS at Virginia

Hawaii --5-2 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-4 ATS vs Colorado State

Houston -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS at Tulane, 0-5 ATS after scoring 3 or less points

Idaho -- 3-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-7 ATS as Double Digit Favs

Illinois -- 8-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home games, 4-12 ATS vs Northwestern

Indiana -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS Home as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS with Rest

Iowa -- 7-0 ATS on the Road with Revenge, 0-8 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

Iowa State -- 8-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 1-12 ATS after playing Texas Tech

Kansas -- 5-0  ATS vs Tcu, 0-8 ATS with Rest

Kansas State -- 5-0 ATS vs West Virginia, 4-8 ATS vs Texas Tech

Kent State -- 3-0 ATS vs Western Michigan, 0-6 ATS as Home Favs off SU loss

Kentucky -- 5-1 ATS off an ATS win, 1-9 ATS vs Florida

UL-Lafayette -- 4-0 ATS vs Texas State, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs

UL-Monroe -- 8-2 ATS after scoring less than a TD, 0-7 ATS vs Arkansas State

Louisiana Tech -- 4-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-4 ATS on the Road after scoring a TD or less

Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 0-4 ATS as Conf Dogs after allowing >34.5 pts

LSU -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs Texas A&M, 0-4 ATS vs Alabama

Marshall -- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 0-3 ATS vs Western Kentucky

Maryland -- 5-1 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beaten Favs, 1-5 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs

Memphis -- 14-2 ATS in last Road game, 0-6 ATS as Weekday Favs

Miami -- 7-1 ATS vs Georgia Tech, 2-6 ATS at Home vs Virginia Tech

Miami OH -- 4-0 ATS vs Kent State, 2-7 ATS vs Marshall

Michigan -- 3-0 ATS vs Florida, 0-9 ATS vs Michigan State

Michigan State -- 9-0 ATS vs Michigan, 1-6 ATS vs Minnesota

MTSU -- 7-1 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 0-3 ATS vs Florida International

Minnesota -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Michigan State, 0-7 ATS after playing Purdue

Mississippi -- 7-0 ATS before playing Alabama, 0-4 ATS vs Arkansas

Mississippi State -- 3-0 ATS vs Lsu, 0-9 ATS after playing Georgia

Missouri -- 55-4 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 1-10 ATS away from Home

Navy -- 4-0 ATS vs Smu, 1-5 ATS vs Army

Nebraska -- 5-0 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-3 ATS vs Ohio State

Nevada -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Boise State, 0-3 ATS vs Air Force

New Mexico -- 4-0 ATS vs Wyoming, 0-4 vs Colorado State

New Mexico State -- 3-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-6 ATS vs Arkansas State

North Carolina -- 7-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS as DD Dogs off a DD SU win

North Carolina State -- 13-0 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 0-4 ATS before playing Boston College

North Texas -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs beaten Favs, 0-3 ATS vs Utep

Northern Illinois -- 12-0 ATS in Weekday Road games, 0-3 ATS vs Central Michigan

Northwestern -- 12-4 ATS vs Illinois, 1-9 ATS before playing Iowa

Notre Dame -- 5-0 ATS with Revenge off a win, 0-3 ATS vs Boston College

Ohio State -- 3-0 vs Nebraska, 0-6 ATS vs Indiana

Ohio U -- 3-0 ATS vs Kent, 0-6 ATS vs Bowling Green

Oklahoma -- 3-0 ATS vs Kansas, 0-4 ATS vs Texas

Oklahoma State -- 4-0 ATS at Texas, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Kansas State

Old Dominion -- 3-0 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 1-7 ATS in non-Conference Play

Oregon -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs California, 0-7 ATS vs Washington State

Oregon State -- 16-3 ATS after playing Washington State, 0-4 ATS after Stanford

Penn State -- 4-1 ATS vs Akron, 0-4 ATS vs Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh -- 3-0 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 1-6 ATS off a SU Dog win

Purdue -- New Head Coach, 10-0 ATS as Road Dogs >11 pts, 1-10 ATS vs Wisconsin

Rice -- 7-0 ATS as Favs less than four points, 0-3 ATS vs Louisiana Tech

Rutgers -- 3-0 ATS vs Indiana, 0-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games

San Diego State -- 4-0 ATS before playing Hawaii, 0-5 ATS as Favs < TD with Revenge

San Jose State -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-4 ATS vs San Diego State

SMU -- 3-0 ATS as Road Favs, 0-12 ATS before playing Tulsa

South Alabama -- 3-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-4 ATS vs Arkansas State

South Carolina -- 6-2 ATS vs Clemson, 0-4 ATS vs Kentucky

South Florida -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-7 ATS as Weekday Favs off a win

Southern Mississippi -- 6-1 ATS as non-Conference Dogs <28 pts, 0-6 ATS versus Marshall

Stanford -- 4-0 ATS vs Ucla, 0-3 ATS vs Utah

Syracuse -- 8-1 ATS Home versus poor rivals,0-3 ATS vs Louisville

TCU -- 5-0 ATS vs Baylor, 0-5 ATS vs Kansas

Temple -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS vs UConn, 0-10 ATS as Favs <17 pts with Rest

Tennessee -- 6-1 ATS at Kentucky, 1-6 ATS after playing Florida

Texas -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Texas Tech, 2-8 ATS vs Kansas State

Texas A&M -- 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-11 ATS with Rest

Texas State -- 3-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-4 ATS vs UL-Lafayette

Texas Tech -- 6-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 0-6 ATS after playing TCU

Toledo -- 7-0 ATS vs Central Michigan, 0-5 ATS off a Double Digit loss

Troy -- 6-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 0-5 ATS vs Arkansas State

Tulane -- 7-1 ATS at Smu, 0-6 ATS at Home vs Houston

Tulsa -- 10-1 ATS after playing Smu, 1-10 ATS as non-Conf Favs

UAB -- returns after two year layoff, 5-1 ATS vs Southern Miss, 1-5 ATS with Rest

UCF -- 5-1 ATS on the Road after allowing Single Digit pts, 1-9 ATS as Dogs >10.5 pts

UCLA -- 5-0 ATS vs Arizona, 0-4 ATS vs Stanford

UMASS -- 5-0 ATS vs the SEC, 1-8 ATS with Revenge

UNLV -- 7-0 ATS Weekday Home games, 0-5 ATS vs San Jose State

USC -- 7-1 ATS vs Cal, 1-8 ATS as Dogs

Utah -- 4-0 ATS vs Arizona State, 0-6 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts

Utah State -- 5-0 ATS away with Rest, 1-9 ATS before playing Nevada

UTEP -- 3-0 ATS vs North Texas, 1-5 ATS vs Rice

UTSA -- 4-1 ATS vs Louisiana Tech, 1-5 ATS as beaten Favs

Vanderbilt -- 4-0 ATS vs Georgia, 2-14 ATS in Game Six

Virginia -- 8-1 ATS at Home vs Georgia Tech, 0-9 ATS as Favs vs above avg opponents

Virginia Tech -- 8-2 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-3 ATS vs Pittsburgh

Wake Forest -- 6-0 ATS before playing Clemson, 0-13 ATS as Favs >13 pts

Washington -- 6-0 ATS on Weekdays, 0-11 ATS vs Arizona State

Washington State -- 7-0 ATS vs Oregon, 0-5 ATS on Weekdays

West Virginia -- 4-1 ATS vs Texas, 0-5 ATS as Home Favs <5 pts

Western Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs Marshall, 1-3 ATS vs Florida Atlantic

Western Michigan -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Akron, 2-12 ATS vs Northern Illinois

Wisconsin -- 7-0 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Iowa

Wyoming -- 8-0 ATS vs Air Force, 0-5 ATS after scoring at least 35 points

 

 

Here is a look before the 2017 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:

 

Arizona -- 9-1 ATS as Dog vs below avg opponents, 5-0 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs, 4-11 ATS at Home, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays vs above average rivals

Atlanta -- 10-2 ATS on Thursdays, 8-1 ATS off MNF, 0-4 ATS vs New England, 1-6 ATS before playing Tampa Bay

Baltimore -- 5-0 ATS as Division Dogs, 7-0 ATS vs Miami, 0-6 ATS as Dogs on Thursdays, 0-8 ATS vs the AFC West

Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS off Thursday games, 4-0 ATS vs Denver, 0-5 ATS vs Oakland, 1-5 ATS as Road Favs

Carolina -- 8-1 ATS at San Francisco, 4-0 ATS vs New England, 1-5 ATS before playing Atlanta, 0-5 ATS vs Miami

Chargers -- New Head Coach, New Home City, 15-1 ATS vs AFC South, 6-0 ATS vs Jacksonville, 0-8 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 1-5 ATS with Rest

Chicago -- 15-3 ATS before playing Detroit, 5-1 ATS after playing Minnesota, 1-8 ATS Home off non-Conference Play, 2-12 ATS before playing Minnesota

Cincinnati -- 12-1 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs, 5-0 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 2-8 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 0-4 ATS after playing Cleveland

Cleveland -- 5-2 ATS vs Tennessee, 5-0 ATS vs the Chargers, 1-8 ATS at Home vs Baltimore, 2-10 ATS in Division Play

Dallas -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs, 6-0 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-8 ATS vs the NFC South, 1-7 ATS on Thursdays

Denver -- New Head Coach, 8-2 ATS vs Oakland, 6-1 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS after allowing less than a TD, 0-6 ATS at Indianapolis

Detroit -- 5-0 ATS with Rest, 4-1 ATS at the Giants, 0-9 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 1-12 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts

Green Bay -- 5-0 ATS after playing Chicago, 9-1 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 1-4 ATS vs New Orleans

Houston -- 6-1 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 5-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays, 1-9 ATS on MNF

Indianapolis -- 12-2 ATS on Thursdays, 9-1 ATS vs Denver, 1-5 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 0-4 ATS before MNF

Jacksonville -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS with Rest, 5-1 ATS after playing Tennessee, 0-5 ATS as Favs of at least a TD, 1-7 ATS before playing Indianapolis

Kansas City -- 7-0 ATS vs AFC East, 6-0 ATS vs Washington, 1-7 ATS off MNF, 1-9 ATS after playing Oakland

Miami -- 4-0 ATS vs Oakland, 5-0 ATS vs Carolina, 0-7 ATS vs Baltimore, 1-5 ATS vs Jets

Minnesota -- 8-0 ATS before Bye Week, 15-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-6 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS on the Road on MNF

New England -- 9-1 ATS after playing Miami, 10-1 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-7 ATS vs Jets, 0-4 ATS vs Carolina

New Orleans -- 5-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC North, 7-1 ATS after playing Tampa Bay, 0-5 ATS vs Washington, 0-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games

NY Giants -- 5-0 ATS vs Dallas, 8-0 ATS vs the Rams, 0-5 ATS Home vs NFC West, 0-4 ATS vs Denver

NY Jets -- 8-0 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 7-1 ATS vs New England, 1-6 ATS vs Kansas City, 0-6 ATS on the Road vs AFC West

Oakland -- 5-0 ATS after scoring a TD or less, 5-0 ATS vs Buffalo, 1-8 ATS before playing the Chargers, 0-4 ATS vs Miami

Philadelphia -- 4-0 ATS vs the Rams, 7-1 ATS off 3+ SU losses, 1-6 ATS after playing Dallas, 0-4 ATS vs the NFC West

Pittsburgh -- 6-0 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts, 6-1 ATS at Cincinnati, 0-5 ATS after playing Cincinnati, 1-6 ATS on the Road vs AFC West

Rams-- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Jacksonville, 13-0 ATS as Favs after scoring 35 or > points, 0-8 ATS vs Giants, 2-9 ATS at Home vs NFC North

San Francisco -- New Head Coach, 11-1 ATS on MNF, 3-0 ATS vs the Rams, 0-5 ATS with Rest, 1-10 ATS vs Seattle

Seattle -- 7-0 ATS on Thursdays, 10-1 ATS vs San Francisco, 1-5 ATS vs the NFC South, 1-7 ATS Home with Rest

Tampa Bay -- 6-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC East, 7-0 ATS as Road Dogs after scoring at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS on Thursdays, 2-10 ATS after playing New Orleans

Tennessee -- 6-1 ATS as Double Digit Favs, 5-0 ATS on MNF, 0-8 ATS before Thursday Play, 1-8 ATS off MNF

Washington -- 5-0 ATS before Thursday play, 5-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 1-13 ATS at Home on MNF, 0-6 ATS vs Kansas City

 

 

2017 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips 

Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers.  The most important edge is emotion.  Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events.  This is true in all sports.  But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football.  Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion.  Such Coaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years. 

Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games.  The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division.  Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each.  They are called the East, North, South and West.  So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division.  When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team. 

If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games.  But if the in-between game is against say Atlanta, a lesser out of Division team, be careful!  Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week.  Starters may be pulled early against Atlanta, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one. 

Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'.  The team usually wins, but fails to cover.  Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!

Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything.  When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ˝ to one point with me.  Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me.  When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play.  This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc.  But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.

Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line.  This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game.  I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it.  They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways.  The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet.  They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.

NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on.  For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years.  Every week!  For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points.  Sometimes it can move even more.  Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction. 

Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2017 Football Wagering Season!  Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners! 

--Rich Green

Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com

http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com


Click for FreeSportsLetter Free Football Picks Page


Click HERE for FREE Winners!

Click for FreeSportsLetter Free Football Picks Page

Here's where the money's at!!

 

Top Sites     Contact Us